Everyday Killings in the nation Fall Thirty-Seven Percent In Claudia Sheinbaum, Per Government Data

The average number of daily homicides monthly in the country has dropped by thirty-seven percent since President Claudia Sheinbaum took office, according to fresh official data. Nevertheless, security analysts have cautioned that homicide figures could fail to indicate improved countrywide security.

Significant Reduction in Daily Numbers

Officials reported an mean of nearly 55 murders a day in November compared with almost 87 when Claudia Sheinbaum took the presidency in September of last year. This data was provided by the director of the country’s national safety system, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the president’s daily news conference on Tuesday.

“The outcome in killings that have been recorded in these months is remarkably significant,” the President remarked, adding that last month the lowest number of homicides were recorded for any November in the past decade.

Recent Background and Official Strategy

Violent organized crime rivalries, alongside the administration's heavily military efforts to confront the cartels, have led to Mexico’s homicide rate escalate in recent years. The figure hit a peak of 36,773 homicides in 2020, per the country’s official data agency.

That resulted in Mexico a homicide rate over four times higher than the US. From that point, murders have been on the downward trend, falling to 33,550 last year. The President has linked her public safety plan for an seemingly sharper reduction in killings this year.

At a media briefing in the summer, the President stated: “We have a strategy, we have oversight of the plan, and we have specific tracking municipality by municipality in certain cases. The plan is effective. And we have to keep working at it daily.”

The central components of the President's security strategy encompass:

• Bolstering Mexico’s national guard.
• Advancing intelligence and investigation capabilities.
• Enhanced collaboration between government agencies.

Expert Warnings and Data Limitations

However, security experts warned that using murder numbers to assess the situation of improved security was misleading. This is particularly true given the uptick in different crimes such as abductions.

“It would be positive information if this was a reduction, but I think we must not just focus on the homicide numbers and think: ‘Oh well, excellent,’” commented Cecilia Farfán-Méndez, an authority on Mexican cartels. “I would be tentatively positive.”

As reported by the policy research thinktank Mexico Evalúa, murders in total declined by over 20% in the initial 10 months of the current year versus the identical period last year. Yet, missing persons cases have risen by 15% and in some states have surged by up to 200%.

“Data on murders is no longer useful for gauging the context of violence,” argued Armando Vargas, a safety expert at Mexico Evalúa. “Firstly, we have police and prosecutors who lack the capacity or the desire to properly identify and classify corpses. Secondly, organized [criminals] … have the capability to mask violent acts through disappearances.”

Vargas added that using monthly means of everyday killings was also problematic because it might mask periods when there were particularly high levels of murders.

“Using the daily mean makes spikes of violence less visible,” he concluded.

Arrests and Seizures as Metrics of Progress

Where the government can highlight the success of its security strategy is on arrests and seizures. Close to 40,000 people were detained between October 2024 and November 2025 for serious offenses, according to government figures. More than 20,000 firearms were confiscated and 311 tons of narcotics seized.

“Donald Trump cannot claim President Sheinbaum of doing nothing, because the reality is she is accomplishing a lot with these thousands of arrests, many thousands of confiscations, and all the operational weakening of organised crime. It’s highly politically beneficial,” said Vargas.

Persistent Unrest and Public Anger

Yet notwithstanding these actions, Mexico is still grappling with extreme bloodshed, with several regions in the midst of cartel-fueled bloodshed. Last month there was a notable assassination of a well-liked local official in the region of Michoacan, among 10 mayors murdered in the past 12 months.

A short time after, many thousands of youth took to the streets in Mexico City and across the country to express their outrage at graft and cartel violence.

“The administration shares [data] in a way to create a narrative of improvement. Politically it’s very potent, from a social perspective it’s very debatable,” Vargas concluded.